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What's inside the Ux Weekly

January 21, 2019

Can and Should the U.S. Remain a Nuclear Power Leader?
Seabrook set to receive 20-year license extension
Hitachi suspends Wylfa Newydd construction
UK Parliament votes against Brexit deal
EDF evaluating expansion of French nuclear reactor sites
EDF says hot testing for Flamanville EPR now scheduled for second half of February
President Trump signs NEIMA into law
U.S. DOE awards Framatome $49 million for development of accident tolerant fuel
Westinghouse receives U.S. DOE funding for EnCore accident tolerant fuel development
Ruling party lawmaker expresses opposition to South Korea’s nuclear phase-out policy
Kyushu EPC reveals plan for next steps at Genkai
Jordan considering use of NuScale small modular reactor
U.S. DOE clears path for HALEU
Russia and Serbia sign nuclear cooperation agreement
Westinghouse open to provide Ukraine with nuclear fuel fabrication technology
India and Uzbekistan sign uranium import agreement
BHP’s Olympic Dam production jumps 67% in Q2 2019
Rio Tinto releases Q4 2018 operations review
Ur-Energy releases Q4 2018 operational results
Paladin reports Q4 2018 sales totals
UEC reports updated mineral resource estimate at Reno Creek ISR project
Wyoming uranium industry seeks 15-year tax break
Yellow Cake Plc reports Q4 2018 NAV
The Market
The industry's leading source of Publications, Data Services, Market Research, and Analysis, on the Global Nuclear Fuel Cycle Markets
STF

World Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Used Fuel Management Conference

UxC's Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) highlights recent developments and their impact on the market.

Each quarterly report, at over 130 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

Uranium Suppliers Annual

Sometimes referred to as "The Uranium Bible", the Uranium Suppliers Annual contains comprehensive data and information on all of the world's uranium suppliers, including detailed sections on planned producers and junior/exploration companies.

Whether you are a utility, producer, trader, or investor, the Uranium Suppliers Annual provides the basis for understanding potential future developments surrounding the availability of supply, particularly since uranium production has continued to be sub-par against a backdrop of growing demand. In light of the increasing volatile nature of the uranium market, primary and potential suppliers are continuously re-evaluating their properties and future production plans, as well as expanding exploration programs where economically feasible.

Uranium Production Cost Study

The Uranium Production Cost Study complements UxC's Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) and Uranium Supplier's Annual (USA) in identifying where expanded and new uranium supply will come from among 116 worldwide projects to meet future nuclear fuel demand through 2030.

UxC's Conversion Market Outlook (CMO) details an often overlooked market.

Each bi-annual report, at over 120 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

UxC's Enrichment Market Outlook (EMO) Covers a Dynamic and Key Segment of the Overall Nuclear Fuel Market.

Enrichment developments not only are important for understanding the enrichment market, but are also crucial for understanding the future progression of the uranium market. Since uranium and enrichment are substitutes, increases in enrichment supply can have a major impact on the future demand for uranium. Each quarterly report, at over 110 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

UxC's Enrichment Suppliers Assessments (ESA)

USEC recently declared its intention to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and re-emerge as a leaner, new enrichment company. What will happen to the American Centrifuge Project (ACP)? Where will USEC find the funding for the ACP? How will the new USEC survive until an ACP plant can be built? These are just a few of the multitude of questions raised by the USEC bankruptcy announcement. UxC's USEC Watch subscriber service follows all of USEC's activities in depth and analyzes their consequences for the company and also for their impact on the enrichment market as a whole. Learn more about the ESA.

End of an Era: The HEU Agreement and Beyond

"End of an Era: The HEU Agreement and Beyond," examines the HEU deal from an historical standpoint, and addresses the impact of the deal's end on the parties to the deal and nuclear fuel market as a whole. In this regard, the essay takes a close look at the fate the Russian enrichment plants, Russia's enrichment industry after the HEU Agreement, and the fate of USEC. Looking forward, we turn to examining the likelihood of follow-on to the HEU Agreement as well as the prospects for the SWU and uranium markets in the post-HEU era. Get more information.

UxC's Fabrication Market Outlook (FMO)

With a long history of tracking the unique fabrication market, UxC issues an annual comprehensive and up-to-date Fabrication Market Outlook (FMO) report addressing the commercial, economic, institutional, and technical aspects of this sector. Fabrication differs greatly from other steps in the fuel cycle. Its high technical content, need for regulatory approval, and the restriction of fuel assemblies to specific reactors require a unique approach to its analysis. To those with little knowledge of fuel fabrication and its markets, this report can serve as a primer providing a solid background and understanding of how its markets function. To those knowledgeable in the fundamentals, it offers analyses of a variety of its aspects based on several decades of participation. To those who are actively involved in the industry, it supplies additional insights to assist in the improvement of existing nuclear fuel programs and in the development of new ones.

UxC's Nuclear Grade Zirconium Alloy Market Outlook

UxC has prepared a new special report to provide an overview of the zirconium alloy market for the nuclear industry entitled Nuclear Grade Zirconium Alloy Market Outlook. Nuclear-grade zirconium alloys and products are used in the fabrication of fuel assemblies, which are used in the vast majority of nuclear reactor designs either currently operating, under construction, or planned around the world. As the nuclear renaissance takes hold in countries all over the globe, many questions about the international nuclear supply chain have arisen. The supply of nuclear-grade zirconium – from zircon mineral sand through the cladding and components used in finished fuel assemblies – has also not escaped this scrutiny. Therefore, the primary objective of this report is to factually and analytically approach the current and expected future direction of the nuclear-grade zirconium market to help formulate clear conclusions about how producers of fuel assemblies for nuclear reactors will obtain the necessary zirconium for their finished products.

UxC's Nuclear Power Outlook (NPO)

Each quarterly report, at over 200 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

UxC Analyzes Reactor Technology

In March 2013, UxC issued a new special report on the SMR Market Outlook (SMO). This 450 page report provides comprehensive commercial and technical analysis of the overall SMR market and detailed reviews of the leading SMR designs in the world. The SMO report is the result of UxC's continuing efforts to provide its global clients with insightful products and services in the SMR sector. It includes a global SMR market review along with a global outlook for SMR market developments as well as deployment forecasts to 2040.

In December 2010, UxC issued a groundbreaking special report on Small Modular Reactor Assessments (SMRA). This report's objective is to provide technical, economic, and other commercial assessments of each of the SMR designs being developed in the world today. In addition, the report provides an in-depth discussion of the broader issues impacting SMRs, such as the keys to successful deployment for SMRs, comparisons with larger reactor technologies, specific applications for SMRs, and the broader issues facing potential customers for SMRs.

In August 2008, UxC completed a special report on Nuclear Reactor Technology Assessments. This in-depth study provides nuclear reactor technology assessments and overall evaluations of the major reactor designs currently available in the world. The decision of which reactor design to pursue is an extremely important one and must be based on many factors, such as the robustness of the technology, the constructability of the plant, the plant economics - both initial and operating, the type of fuel used, the ability to license and regulate, among a variety of other considerations.

UxC's SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL

UxC is not only expanding its geopolitical coverage of the market, but is also now covering more of the fuel cycle. In June 2007, UxC began to publish SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL, two leading newsletters dealing with the backend of the fuel cycle.

Both publications cover major fuel cycle and backend-related conferences in detail. In addition, UxC can advise clients in issues related to the back end of the fuel cycle, including profiles of utility spent fuel storage facilities and plans, country profiles, vendor profiles, etc.

Latest Headlines (more information)

PSEG: Without subsidies, 3 Salem County nuclear plants will close
Press of Atlantic City (Jan 23, 2019)
PSEG says that without state support, its nuclear plants in Salem County will close within three years.
https://www.pressofatlanticcity.com/news/pseg-without-subsidies-salem-county-nuclear-plants-will-close/article_3e06b310-246a-55f5-ab25-137fc5e6ed4a.html
French utility EDF to make further tests on faulty Flamanville weldings
Reuters (Jan 21, 2019)
EDF schedules "hot tests" at Flamanville 3 for the second half of February.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-edf-flamanville/french-utility-edf-to-make-further-tests-on-faulty-flamanville-weldings-idUSKCN1PF0KC
Hitachi debacle strengthens Franco-Chinese hand in UK nuclear
Reuters (Jan 17, 2019)
EDF and China General Nuclear Power Corporation continue negotiations concerning the financing model for the Sizewell C project.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-hitachi-nuclear-edf-analysis/hitachi-debacle-strengthens-franco-chinese-hand-in-uk-nuclear-idUSKCN1PB2II
UK committed to nuclear power after Hitachi decision -PM May's spokesman
Reuters (Jan 17, 2019)
A spokesman for UK Prime Minister Theresa May says that Britain is committed to nuclear power.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/hitachi-nuclear-may/uk-committed-to-nuclear-power-after-hitachi-decision-pm-mays-spokesman-idUKS8N1Y201C
Seabrook nuclear plant set to receive 20-year extension
Sea Coast Online (Jan 16, 2019)
The NRC is expected to issue a 20-year license extension for Seabrook Station.
https://www.fosters.com/news/20190115/seabrook-nuclear-plant-set-to-receive-20-year-extension