Adjusting to a Dynamic Market
In the aftermath of the Fukushima accident, reactor projects worldwide were delayed and some new reactors were canceled. Through 2016, global uranium supply continued to increase as many advanced-stage uranium projects came online supported by higher-priced utility contracts. As a result, utility and supplier inventories increased as global reactor requirments declined. However, in the last three years, multiple producer cutbacks have reduced global uranium production to a projected 142 million pounds U3O8 in 2019. With annual production now well below reactor requirements, utility and supplier inventories are steadily declining.
Over the long term, improvement is forseen for nuclear power, with China's nuclear generation still expected to grow at a rapid rate, India building up strategic reserves due to its lack of low-cost domestic uranium resources to meet ambitious demand growth, and new countries such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia advancing their nuclear power programs. Thus, it remains imperative for new production to meet accelerating growth by the middle part of the next decade to avoid a price spike situation.
While it is critical for new projects to be developed by the mid 2020s, this could prove challenging given difficulties to finance new projects in the current economic environment. And as exploration slows, this delays the development time for the next wave of new uranium projects.
There are also the complex economic, environmental, strategic, and geopolitical issues facing various uranium projects over the next 10 years, which must be understood and risks evaluated by buyers to protect themselves in the future.
Preparing for the Future
In late December, UxC published a revised edition of the Uranium Suppliers Annual (USA), containing comprehensive data and information on all of the world's uranium suppliers, including detailed sections on planned producers and junior exploration companies. USA includes future production forecasts, operational considerations, supplier/project risk analysis, production cost estimates, mill capacities, project reserves, and supplier/facility summaries. USA also features Google project maps for primary, domestic, and planned producers.
Furthermore, the USA examines supplier marketing strategies, allowing buyers to understand the capabilities and motivations of suppliers, as well as the political, social, and economic environments in which they operate. In addition, the USA is supported and updated via UxC's Subscriber Services website, giving subscribers the opportunity to retrieve the latest supplier information.
For each primary and planned producer, detailed tables are provided on mill and mine data, which include:
- Ownership Interest
- Nominal Capacity (Mills)
- Process (Mills)
- Estimated Reserves (Mines)
- Percent Average Ore Grade (Mines)
- Mine Type
- Estimated Production Cost
Additional information covered on each primary and most planned producers include:
- Company Overview
- Driving Force
- Projected Production Based on Ownership Share
- Marketing Strategy
And given the numerous risks affecting uranium producers today, we provide a Project Risk Assessment Matrix for each
primary producer to assess a number of risk factors - Geopolitical, Regulatory, Resource Base, Operational,
Product Dependency, Exchange Rates, and Transportation. Also provided is a Company Risk Matrix, featuring a
comparative aggregate overview of all primary suppliers with aggregate project-specific ratings and
company-specific risks - Resource Diversity, Financial Strength, and Customer Relations.
Please see our product flier and table of contents
in Adobe Acrobat PDF format.
An online order form is now available.