Inventories in Decline
Post-Fukushima, reactor projects worldwide were delayed with a number of new reactors canceled. Until 2016, global uranium supply continued to increase as many advanced-stage uranium projects came online supported by higher-priced utility contracts. As a result, utility and supplier inventories grew as global reactor requirments declined. However, producer cutbacks over the last several years have reduced global uranium production to a projected 123 million pounds U3O8 in 2020. With annual production now 57 million pounds U3O8 shy of global uranium demand, utility and supplier inventories are declining at a rapid rate.
Over the long-term, improvement is forseen for nuclear power, with China's nuclear generation still expected to grow swiftly, India building up strategic reserves due to its lack of low-cost domestic resources to meet ambitious demand growth, and new countries such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia advancing their nuclear power programs. Thus, it is imperative for new production to meet accelerating demand growth by the middle part of this decade to avoid a price spike situation.
While it is critical for new projects to be developed by the mid to late 2020s, this could prove challenging given difficulties financing new projects in the current economic climate. And as exploration slows, so too do the development timelines for the next wave of new uranium projects.
There are also the complex economic, environmental, strategic, and geopolitical issues facing various uranium projects over the next decade, which must be understood and risks evaluated by buyers to protect themselves in the future.
Preparing for the Future
In December, UxC published the latest edition of the Uranium Suppliers Annual (USA), containing comprehensive data and information on all of the world's uranium suppliers, including detailed sections on planned producers and junior exploration companies. USA includes future production forecasts, operational considerations, supplier/project risk analysis, production cost estimates, mill capacities, project reserves, and supplier/facility summaries. USA also features Google project maps for primary, domestic, and planned producers.
Furthermore, USA examines supplier marketing strategies, allowing buyers to understand the capabilities and motivations of suppliers, as well as the political, social, and economic environments in which they operate. In addition, USA is supported and updated via UxC's Subscriber Services website, giving subscribers the opportunity to retrieve the latest supplier information.
For each primary and planned producer, detailed tables are provided on mill and mine data, which include:
- Ownership Interest
- Nominal Capacity (Mills)
- Process (Mills)
- Estimated Reserves (Mines)
- Percent Average Ore Grade (Mines)
- Mine Type
- Estimated Production Cost
Additional information covered on each primary and most planned producers include:
- Company Overview
- Driving Force
- Projected Production Based on Ownership Share
- Marketing Strategy
And given the numerous risks affecting uranium producers today, we provide a Project Risk Assessment Matrix for each
primary producer to assess a number of risk factors - Geopolitical, Regulatory, Resource Base, Operational,
Product Dependency, Exchange Rates, and Transportation. Also provided is a Company Risk Matrix, featuring a
comparative aggregate overview of all primary suppliers with aggregate project-specific ratings and
company-specific risks - Resource Diversity, Financial Strength, and Customer Relations.
Please see our product flier and table of contents
in Adobe Acrobat PDF format.
An online order form is now available.