Recent Special Reports
Uranium Suppliers Annual 2011 - Dec 2011
Nuclear Grade Zirconium Alloy Market Outlook - Nov 2011
Russia’s Enrichment Industry in the Post-Fukushima Era - Nov 2011
Japan’s Nuclear Energy Program after Fukushima - Oct 2011
Nuclear Power in the Post-Fukushima Era - Sep 2011
Market Outlook Report Essays
The Evolution of Uranium Price Information - Q4 2011
The Conversion Market After Fukushima - Dec 2011
Understanding Long-Term SWU Price Projections - Q4 2011
Fukushima, Fabrication and the Future - Jul 2011
Nuclear Power Market Trends and Analysis - Q4 2011
UxC Policy Watch
Jan 23, 2012 DOE High Assay Tails Re-enrichment – January 2012 Update
Dec 21, 2011 DOE High Assay Tails Re-enrichment – December 2012 Update
Dec 6, 2011 Spain's Elections: Limited Impact on Nuclear Policy
Nov 14, 2011 Belgium: Implementing the Nuclear Phase-out
Nov 10, 2011 Taiwan to Phase out Nuclear Power
UxC Meeting Summaries
Feb 1, 2012 Hearings on final report of Blue Ribbon Commission on America's Nuclear Future
Jan 25, 2012 The Future of Nuclear Energy
Jan 24, 2012 CSIS Post-Durban Update
Jan 23, 2012 Discussion of Fukushima from a global point of view – from the perspective of energy security
Jan 12, 2012 NEI Washington International Representatives Meeting
UxC Press Releases
Jun 7, 2011 UxC Announces Major Report Analyzing Fukushima Nuclear Accident
Jun 2, 2011 UxC and Nuclear.Ru to partner on the CIS market
May 9, 2011 UxC Says Global Nuclear Power Forecasts Drop Following Fukushima, but Significant Growth Still Expected
Jan 10, 2011 Ux Consulting Issues Groundbreaking Study on Small Modular Reactor Assessments
Dec 13, 2010 Ux Consulting Reports on China’s Role in Global Nuclear Fuel Market
UxC's Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) highlights recent developments and their impact on the market.
Each quarterly report, at over 130 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the
overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the
past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market
indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities,
and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.
This quarter’s essay, “The Evolution of Uranium Price Information,” looks at how uranium price information available to the industry has evolved over time, with the most dramatic changes coming over the past five years. The roles of financial players and commodity-style brokers in prompting these changes are examined. We also discuss in some detail the recent modification of our price definition in light of these changes, and look at potential ways in which price information may evolve in the future.
Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity,
and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.
Uranium Suppliers Annual
Sometimes referred to as "The Uranium Bible", the Uranium Suppliers Annual contains comprehensive data and
information on all of the world's uranium suppliers, including detailed sections on planned producers and
junior/exploration companies.
Whether you are a utility, producer, trader, or investor, the Uranium Suppliers Annual provides the
basis for understanding potential future developments surrounding the availability of supply, particularly
since uranium production has continued to be sub-par against a backdrop of growing demand. In light
of the increasing volatile nature of the uranium market, primary and potential suppliers are continuously
re-evaluating their properties and future production plans, as well as expanding exploration programs where
economically feasible.
Uranium Production Cost Study
The Uranium Production Cost Study complements UxC’s Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) and
Uranium Supplier’s Annual (USA) in identifying where expanded and new uranium supply will come from among 116 worldwide projects
to meet future nuclear fuel demand through 2030.
Each bi-annual report, at over 120 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the
overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the
past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market
indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities,
and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.
THis year's essay entitled “The Conversion Market After Fukushima” analyzes the impact of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power accident in Japan and its aftermath on the broader global conversion market as well as on key issues, such as supply and demand fundamentals, market dynamics, and the future prospects for this critical industry.
Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity,
and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.
UxC's Enrichment Market Outlook (EMO) Covers a Dynamic and
Key Segment of the Overall Nuclear Fuel Market.
Enrichment developments not only are important for understanding the enrichment market, but are
also crucial for understanding the future progression of the uranium market.
Since uranium and enrichment are substitutes, increases in enrichment supply can
have a major impact on the future demand for uranium.
Each quarterly report, at over 110 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the
overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the
past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market
indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities,
and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.
This issue’s essay, “Understanding Long-Term SWU Price Projections,” takes a closer look at UxC’s SWU price projections in terms of what these represent and thus how they should be interpreted. Unlike in uranium where we project spot prices, in enrichment we project base prices in long-term contracts, as the spot SWU market is not very significant. In this essay, we examine our use of price ranges and scenario analysis, and how these results should be interpreted. These features, as well as projecting prices in terms of current as opposed to constant dollars, are common to both our uranium and SWU price projections. The issue of how to derive delivery prices based on these projections is also addressed.
Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity,
and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.
New report on USEC Enrichment Outlook
In enrichment, a key question on many utilities' minds is the prospects for success of USEC's
American Centrifuge Program (ACP) and how this may shape the market and supply opportunities in the future.
To this end, UxC has just released a report entitled
Commercial Viability of USEC and ACP Update - 2009
The ACP report, authored by Steve Turner, a UxC consultant and expert on the economics of
centrifuge technology, looks at the likely economics of the ACP based on an analysis of historical data,
including reliability, and factoring in advances that have been made to improve the prospects for commercial success.
UxC and its consultant, Joel Gingold, with over forty years experience in the fuel fabrication industry, have prepared a comprehensive
and up-to-date
Fabrication Market Outlook (FMO)
report addressing the commercial, economic, institutional, and technical aspects of this sector. Fabrication differs greatly from other
steps in the fuel cycle. Its high technical content, need for regulatory approval, and the restriction of fuel assemblies to specific
reactors require a unique approach to its analysis. To those with little knowledge of fuel fabrication and its markets, this report
can serve as a primer providing a solid background and understanding of how its markets function. To those knowledgeable in the
fundamentals, it offers analyses of a variety of its aspects based on several decades of participation. To those who are actively
involved in the industry, it supplies additional insights to assist in the improvement of existing nuclear fuel programs and in the development of new ones.
UxC has prepared a new special report to provide an overview of the zirconium alloy market for the nuclear industry entitled
Nuclear Grade Zirconium Alloy Market Outlook.
Nuclear-grade zirconium alloys and products are used in the fabrication of fuel assemblies,
which are used in the vast majority of nuclear reactor designs either currently operating, under construction, or planned around the world.
As the nuclear renaissance takes hold in countries all over the globe, many questions about the international nuclear supply chain have arisen.
The supply of nuclear-grade zirconium – from zircon mineral sand through the cladding and components used in finished fuel assemblies –
has also not escaped this scrutiny. Therefore, the primary objective of this report is to factually and analytically approach the current and
expected future direction of the nuclear-grade zirconium market to help formulate clear conclusions about how producers of fuel assemblies for
nuclear reactors will obtain the necessary zirconium for their finished products.
This year’s in-depth topical essay entitled "Fukushima, Fabrication and the Future" provides an analytical discussion of the likely impacts of the Fukushima accident on all aspects of the fuel fabrication market as well as addressing other recent trends in the industry.
Each quarterly report, at over 200 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the
overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the
past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market
indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities,
and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.
This quarter’s Chapter 1 – Nuclear Power Market Trends and Analysis reviews the year’s annual trends in the industry and looks closely at the deeper meaning behind the Fukushima accident in terms of both positive and negative indicators for nuclear power. The chapter also includes a special spotlight on the International Energy Agency’s World Energy Outlook 2011 and the vision this report presents on the future of nuclear power after Fukushima. Lastly, we also identify who’s up and who’s down within the international nuclear industry over the year.
Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity,
and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.
UxC announces new report
The Ux Consulting Company (UxC) is pleased to announce the availability of a special report on
Nuclear Reactor Technology Assessments. This in-depth study provides nuclear reactor technology
assessments and overall evaluations of the major reactor designs currently available in the world.
The decision of which reactor design to pursue is an extremely important one and must be based on many
factors, such as the robustness of the technology, the constructability of the plant, the plant
economics - both initial and operating, the type of fuel used, the ability to license and regulate,
among a variety of other considerations.
UxC's SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL -
UxC is not only expanding its geopolitical coverage of the market, but is also now covering more of the fuel cycle.
In June 2007, UxC began to publish SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL,
two leading newsletters dealing with the backend of the fuel cycle.
Both publications cover major fuel cycle and backend-related conferences in detail.
In addition, UxC can advise clients in issues related to the back end of the fuel cycle, including
profiles of utility spent fuel storage facilities and plans, country profiles, vendor profiles, etc.