May 23, 2013
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What's inside the
May 20, 2013
Cover: EIA Uranium Report 2012
Regulator authorizes reactor restarts in Belgium
Japanese panel concludes that reactor sits on an active fault
Decision postponed for restart of San Onofore
China Guangdong Nuclear Power Group to change name
U.S. Senate confirms Ernest Moniz as Secretary of Energy
Westinghouse and China’s SNPTC to work towards joint SMR design
Uranium One announces Q1 2013 results
Paladin reports nine-month results
New material may make extracting uranium from seawater more efficient
Ur-Energy closes bridge loan; provides project update
Judge upholds ban on new uranium claims near Grand Canyon
Strateco incurs C$87 million impairment charge
Energia Scoping Study delivers positive NPV for Carley Bore
Fission announces assays from PLS property
U3O8 Corp. completes acquisition of Calypso Uranium
Zadar acquires PNE uranium project
Kazatomprom launches U.S. representative office
The Market
UxC: Consulting, Data Services, and Publications
The industry's leading source of
Consulting, Data Services
& Publications on the
Global Nuclear Fuel
Cycle Markets
Nuclear Industry Value Chain
Small Modular Reactor (SMR) Market Outlook

Recent Special Reports

Nuclear Zirconium Alloy Market - Mar 2013

Small Modular Reactor Market Outlook - Mar 2013

Uranium Suppliers Annual 2012 - Dec 2012

Nuclear Industry Value Chain 2012 - Oct 2012

UxC SMR Research Center - Aug 2012

Market Outlook Report Essays

UMO U.S. Government Excess Uranium Inventory Disposition - Q1 2013

CMO Conversion 2020: What the Future Holds - Dec 2012

EMO Structural Changes in the SWU Market - Q1 2013

FMO Competition in the Nuclear Fuel Fabrication Markets - Jul 2012

NPO 2013 Q1 Nuclear Power Market Trends and Analysis - Q1 2013

UxC Policy Watch

May 8, 2013 U.S. Government Support for Small Modular Reactors – May 2013 Update

Apr 25, 2013 Japan’s Nuclear Energy Program after Fukushima – April 2013 Update

Apr 22, 2013 Obama Administration Requests $28.4 Billion for FY 2014 Department of Energy Budget

Apr 19, 2013 Confirmation Hearing of Dr. Ernest Moniz for Secretary of Energy

Apr 8, 2013 DOE Uranium Inventory Management – April 2013 Update

UxC Meeting Summaries

Feb 20, 2013 Platts: Adjusting the sails while hoping for the wind to change

Feb 14, 2013 Wall Street Briefing 2013

Jan 14, 2013 INMM Spent Fuel Seminar 2013

Nov 28, 2012 US Nuclear Used Fuel Strategy Conference

Nov 14, 2012 Waste Confidence Scoping Meeting for the Environmental Impact Statement

UxC's Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) highlights recent developments and their impact on the market.

Each quarterly report, at over 130 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

This quarter’s essay, “U.S. Government Excess Uranium Inventory Disposition” examines the various forms of excess uranium inventory held by the U.S. Department of Energy’s and forecasts its disposition plans through 2030. Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

Uranium Suppliers Annual

Sometimes referred to as "The Uranium Bible", the Uranium Suppliers Annual contains comprehensive data and information on all of the world's uranium suppliers, including detailed sections on planned producers and junior/exploration companies.

Whether you are a utility, producer, trader, or investor, the Uranium Suppliers Annual provides the basis for understanding potential future developments surrounding the availability of supply, particularly since uranium production has continued to be sub-par against a backdrop of growing demand. In light of the increasing volatile nature of the uranium market, primary and potential suppliers are continuously re-evaluating their properties and future production plans, as well as expanding exploration programs where economically feasible.

Uranium Production Cost Study

The Uranium Production Cost Study complements UxC’s Uranium Market Outlook (UMO) and Uranium Supplier’s Annual (USA) in identifying where expanded and new uranium supply will come from among 116 worldwide projects to meet future nuclear fuel demand through 2030.

UxC's Conversion Market Outlook (CMO) details an often overlooked market.

Each bi-annual report, at over 120 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

Chapter 1 is an essay entitled “Conversion 2020: What the Future Holds” examines the current state of the global conversion market and the major trends that are shaping the market in the near- and mid-term. The objective of this essay is to peer into the not too distant future so as to provide a more holistic understanding of what the conversion market may look like in the year 2020. Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

UxC's Enrichment Market Outlook (EMO) Covers a Dynamic and Key Segment of the Overall Nuclear Fuel Market.

Enrichment developments not only are important for understanding the enrichment market, but are also crucial for understanding the future progression of the uranium market. Since uranium and enrichment are substitutes, increases in enrichment supply can have a major impact on the future demand for uranium. Each quarterly report, at over 110 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

This issue’s essay, “Structural Changes in the SWU Market,” analyzes key structural changes, such as the shift of geographical demand, technology changes, and SWU supplier market positions, taking place in the worldwide enrichment marketplace today. The essay discusses key items that are impacting SWU demand over the next ten years and how they differ from the SWU market we analyzed in May 2008. Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

New report on USEC Enrichment Outlook

In enrichment, a key question on many utilities' minds is the prospects for success of USEC's American Centrifuge Program (ACP) and how this may shape the market and supply opportunities in the future. To this end, UxC has just released a report entitled Commercial Viability of USEC and ACP Update - 2009 The ACP report, authored by Steve Turner, a UxC consultant and expert on the economics of centrifuge technology, looks at the likely economics of the ACP based on an analysis of historical data, including reliability, and factoring in advances that have been made to improve the prospects for commercial success.

UxC and its consultant, Joel Gingold, with over forty years experience in the fuel fabrication industry, have prepared a comprehensive and up-to-date Fabrication Market Outlook (FMO) report addressing the commercial, economic, institutional, and technical aspects of this sector. Fabrication differs greatly from other steps in the fuel cycle. Its high technical content, need for regulatory approval, and the restriction of fuel assemblies to specific reactors require a unique approach to its analysis. To those with little knowledge of fuel fabrication and its markets, this report can serve as a primer providing a solid background and understanding of how its markets function. To those knowledgeable in the fundamentals, it offers analyses of a variety of its aspects based on several decades of participation. To those who are actively involved in the industry, it supplies additional insights to assist in the improvement of existing nuclear fuel programs and in the development of new ones.

UxC has prepared a new special report to provide an overview of the zirconium alloy market for the nuclear industry entitled Nuclear Grade Zirconium Alloy Market Outlook. Nuclear-grade zirconium alloys and products are used in the fabrication of fuel assemblies, which are used in the vast majority of nuclear reactor designs either currently operating, under construction, or planned around the world. As the nuclear renaissance takes hold in countries all over the globe, many questions about the international nuclear supply chain have arisen. The supply of nuclear-grade zirconium – from zircon mineral sand through the cladding and components used in finished fuel assemblies – has also not escaped this scrutiny. Therefore, the primary objective of this report is to factually and analytically approach the current and expected future direction of the nuclear-grade zirconium market to help formulate clear conclusions about how producers of fuel assemblies for nuclear reactors will obtain the necessary zirconium for their finished products.

This year’s in-depth topical essay "Competition in the Nuclear Fuel Fabrication Markets" provides an analytical discussion of what constitutes competition in the fabrication markets from the utility and vendor standpoints, the changing nature of competition in contemporary markets, and how this is being manifest in each geographic and technical fuel fabrication market segment.

UxC's Nuclear Power Outlook (NPO)

Each quarterly report, at over 200 pages, covers key supply and demand developments as well as the overall supply and demand situation, reviews spot and long-term contract activity over the past three months, provides a near-term technical analysis along with detailed spot market indicators, projects prices under different market scenarios with associated probabilities, and examines key developments in the market through a topical essay.

This quarter’s Chapter 1 – Nuclear Power Market Trends and Analysis introduces UxC’s latest major addition to the NPO forecasts, namely our extension of all three reactor scenarios to 2040 (previously we ended our reactor forecasts at 2030). We are also introducing a new gigawatt-hour (GWh) forecast, which allows for better visualization of future nuclear power operations. Given the continuing uncertainty around Japan, our “In the Spotlight” section provides an updated analysis of the Japanese nuclear power situation. Lastly, we identify who is up and who is down within the global nuclear industry since the last quarter.

Also included are a review of recent market activity and a look a current and prospective activity, and a detailed listing of reactor and production developments that promise to shape the future market.

UxC announces new report

The Ux Consulting Company (UxC) is pleased to announce the availability of a special report on Nuclear Reactor Technology Assessments. This in-depth study provides nuclear reactor technology assessments and overall evaluations of the major reactor designs currently available in the world. The decision of which reactor design to pursue is an extremely important one and must be based on many factors, such as the robustness of the technology, the constructability of the plant, the plant economics - both initial and operating, the type of fuel used, the ability to license and regulate, among a variety of other considerations.

UxC's SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL - UxC is not only expanding its geopolitical coverage of the market, but is also now covering more of the fuel cycle. In June 2007, UxC began to publish SpentFUEL and StoreFUEL, two leading newsletters dealing with the backend of the fuel cycle.

Both publications cover major fuel cycle and backend-related conferences in detail. In addition, UxC can advise clients in issues related to the back end of the fuel cycle, including profiles of utility spent fuel storage facilities and plans, country profiles, vendor profiles, etc.


News Headlines
Japan Watchdog: Nuclear Plant Sits on Active Fault (May 22, 2013) Associated Press : Nuclear Regulation Authority agrees with panel on active fault line under Tsuruga nuclear plant.
Eesti Energia: Visaginas nuclear power plant not feasible today (May 22, 2013) Baltic Business News : Eesti Energia says that Visaginas nuclear project is not economically feasible.
Dr. Ernest Moniz Sworn in as 13th Secretary of Energy (May 21, 2013) U.S. Department of Energy : Press release on Dr. Ernest Moniz being sworn in as new Energy Secretary.
Moniz era to begin at Energy Department (May 20, 2013) The Hill : Ernest Moniz to be sworn in as next Energy Secretary today, to hold town hall event tomorrow.
Tepco Nuclear Restart Depends on Safety Call as Shares Surge (May 19, 2013) Bloomberg : Tepco denies that Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant will be restarted in July.
International nuclear inspector supports pumping groundwater to sea at Fukushima plant (May 20, 2013) Japan Daily Press : IAEA team head says that decision to pump groundwater to sea is good solution to address problem.
Shearon Harris nuclear plant shut down because of cracking (May 17, 2013) News Observer : Duke Energy Progress shuts down Shearon Harris due to cracking in reactor vessel.
NC nuclear plant shut down after crack discovered (May 17, 2013) Associated Press : Shearon Harris Plant shut down due to tiny cracks on reactor vessel.
Japanese Reactor Is Said to Stand on a Fault Line (May 15, 2013) New York Times : Seismologists say that fault line is active at Tsuruga nuclear plant in Japan.
Japan’s Nuclear Watchdog Shows Its Bark Has Some Bite: Energy (May 16, 2013) Bloomberg : Japan Nuclear Regulation Authority says fault is active under Tsuruga nuclear plant.

Today's Lighter Side

College Laundry

My son was only 5 feet, 8 inches tall when he left for college in the fall. He worked through the Christmas holidays and didn’t return home again until the February break. When he got off the plane, I was stunned at how much taller he looked. Measuring him at home, I discovered he now stood at 5 feet, 11 inches. He was as surprised as I. “Couldn’t you tell by your clothes that you’d grown?” I asked him.

“Since I’ve been doing my own laundry,” he replied, “I just figured everything had shrunk.”

UxW19-50 Dec 12, 2005


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StoreFUEL

SEA 2013

MENA 2013
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